3. The university has an early-retirement program. What is the
minimum amount of the ''bribe'' that they would have to offer him to make
him retire one year early?
Before retirement, G=24000 and L=182.5.
Then,
U=(24000)0.5(182.5)0.5=2092.8.
After retirement, he must be as well off as before and L=365
.
Therefore,
U=2092.8=G0.5(365)0.5.
Solve for G=12000.
This is the minimum bribe that he would accept in order to retire
one year early.
Question 3 [40 points]
Mary has the opportunity to invest $5,000 in a financial asset. Her total
wealth is $10,000. Her utility function over certain wealth is of the form
u(w) = w1/2. The outcome of the investment is
unknown. The good outcome,
which occurs with probability 0.1, yields an asset that pays (1+0.2) per
dollar invested. On the other hand, the bad outcome, which happens with
probability 0.9, yields an asset paying (1-0.1) per dollar invested.
1. What is the expected return of the investment? What is the
expected wealth? What is the expected utility of the investment?
Expected rate of return =
0.9(-0.1)+0.1(0.2)=-0.07.
Expected return of the investment =
-0.07(5000)=-350.
Wealth in good state =
WG=5000+5000(1.2)=11000.
Wealth in bad state =
WB=5000+5000(0.9)=9500.
Expected wealth =
0.1(11000)+0.9(9500)=9650.
Expected utility =
0.1(11000)1/2+0.9(9500)1/2=98.21.
2. Which attitude toward risk does Mary have? Justify your answer.
Marginal utility falls as wealth increases, therefore, the utility
function is concave and she is risk averse.
[ u' = 0.5w-1/2, u'' = -0.25w-3/2 ]
In other words, the utility of expected value is greater than the
expected utility of the gamble
[ u(o.5a+0.5b) > 0.5u(a) + 0.5u(b) ]
3. Will she make this investment? [Hint: Compare the expected
utilities.]
What amount of (certain) wealth would leave Mary exactly as well
off as the investment?
If she invest: uI=98.21 (from part 1).
If she does not invest:
uNI=(10000)1/2=100.
Since
uI<uNI, she will not invest.
Find certainty equivalent (to get U=98.21 as if she
invested):
98.21=(wCE)1/2, therefore,
wCE=(98.21)2=9645.
4. Now suppose Mary learns about an alternative investment. The good
and bad outcomes are the same as before; however, the two outcomes occur
with different probabilities. For this investment the good outcome occurs
with probability 0.8 and the bad outcome occurs with probability 0.2. Will
Mary make this investment? Would she be willing to pay more than $5,000 for
this investment? If so, how much more?
Expected utility
=0.2(9,500)1/2+0.8(11,000)1/2=103.4
.
Since this is greater than utility with no investment
(uNI=100
), she will invest.
Find certainty equivalent (to make her well off as if she invested).
103.4=(wCE)1/2, therefore,
wCE=(103.4)2=10691.
She would be willing to pay 10691-10000 = 691
more for this investment.