Martin Martens, Paul Kofman, and Ton Vorst, "A Threshold Error Correction Model for Intraday Futures and Index Returns", Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 13, No. 3, 1998, pp. 245-263. Data source *********** Futures Industry Institute 2001 Pennsylvania Avenue N.W. Suite 600 Washington, D.C. 20006-1807 USA (tel: (202) 223-1528; fax: (202) 296-3184 Note that the original data can be purchased from the FII. Below follows the description of the transformed data as used in the paper. Data construction ***************** For the months May and November 1993 transaction data were obtained from FII. These include the S&P 500 index spot calculated every 15 seconds, and the futures on the S&P 500 index showing the time and the price for each transaction. The last price in each minute is used to form the 1-minute price series. The first 10 minutes of every trading day are removed, and also no overnight returns are included. For each day there are then 379 returns, unless trading halted earlier. All these prices/returns are stacked into one vector. All data files are in DOS format (CR/LF pairs). They are zipped in the file mkv-data.zip. Data-files index and futures prices/returns ******************************************* November 1993 (each datafile contains 1 column, having 7693 observations) futurnov.asc: Futures prices spotnov.asc: Spot prices dfutnov.asc: Futures returns (same length as prices; corresponding minutes) dspotnov.asc: Spot returns May 1993 (each datafile contains 1 column, having 7060 observations) futurmay.asc: Futures prices spotmay.asc: Spot prices dfutmay.asc: Futures returns dspotmay.asc: Spot returns Data-files cost-of-carry (coc) ****************************** To construct the error correction term as defined in equation (2) in the paper interest rates and dividends are needed. Dividends are reported in the S&P 500 Information Bulletin and were kindly provided by Bob Whaley. For the interest rates we used the daily US discount rate interpolating between the rates for the various maturities. These data were taken from Datastream. The resulting daily cost-of-carry term is then adjusted according to the number of observations per day to match the price series. November 1993 (each datafile contains 1 column, having 7693 observations) tfutnov.asc: Theoretical futures prices (index prices adjusted for coc) ectnov.asc: Error correction term (same length as prices; corresponding minutes) May 1993 (each datafile contains 1 column, having 7060 observations) tfutmay.asc: Theoretical futures prices ectmay.asc: Error correction term Raw data ******** The original raw data can be purchased from the above described sources. Upon purchasing we had to sign the agreement the data would not be given to third parties. The data provided here allow replication of all results produced in the paper.