Alessio Anzuini, Patrizio Pagano, Massimiliano Pisani, "Macroeconomic Effects of Precautionary Demand for Oil", Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 30, No. 6, 2015, pp. 968-986. The variables used in the VAR analysis are the following, with Datastream codes (in capitals) or source webpage: -- Crude Oil-WTI Spot Cushing U$/BBL: CRUDOIL. -- U.S. Consumer price index - all items (1967=100 ): USCP67..F -- S&P 500 composite - price index: S&PCOMP(PI) -- S&P 500 index future cont. call - implied vol.(ATM): ISPC.SERIESC -- US$ broad exchange rate index: US$CWBN -- Term spread downloaded from http://www.federalreserve.gov/econresdata/researchdata/feds200533.html. -- U.S. Ending Stocks excluding SPR of Crude Oil (Thousand Barrels): MCESTUS1 downloaded from http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_stoc_wstk_dcu_nus_a.htm. -- Chicago Fed National Activity Index: downloaded from http://chicagofed.org/webpages/research/data/cfnai/current_data.cfm on June 7, 2011. This last variable has been cumulated and rebased so that 01:1986 = 100. These data are contained in the file dataset-app.txt. The other data files are Figure1.txt, Table1-cols-1-3-4.txt, Table1-col-2.txt, Table1-col-5.txt, and Table2.txt. All data files are ASCII files in DOS format. They are zipped in the file app-data.zip. Unix/Linux users should use "unzip -a". ***** Table 1 daily data dF1=delta futures price 1-month maturity dF2=delta futures price 2-month maturity dF3=delta futures price 3-month maturity dspread12= - delta spread spot/futures price 12-month dspread9= - delta spread spot/futures price 9-month Table2 monthly data spot F1=futures price 1-month maturity F2=futures price 2-month maturity ... ... F6=futures price 6-month maturity Sources with Datastream codes (in capitals): spot=Crude Oil-WTI Spot Cushing U$/BBL: CRUDOIL futures=Crude oil futures prices U$/BBL: NCL[expiration date].