Nalan Basturk, Cem Cakmakli, Pinar Ceyhan, and Herman van Dijk, "Posterior-Predictive Evidence on US Inflation using Phillips Curve Models with Non-filtered Data", Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 29, No. 7, 2014, pp. 1164-1182. The data are stored in the file bccv-data.xls file. It includes three sheets: Defl (GDP Deflator) RMC (Real marginal cost series where we use labor share in non-farm business sector as a proxy) SInf (Survey Based Inflation Expectations from University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers) The file bccv-data.xls is zipped in bccv-excel.zip. In addition, the data are also contained in three CSV files (comma separated ASCII files, in DOS format). These files (Defl.csv, RMC.csv, and SInf.csv) are zipped in the file bccv-csv.zip. Unix/Linux users should use "unzip -a". For Defl, the source is the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED Dataset): https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/GDPDEF For RMC, the source is the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED Dataset). Logarithm of the series is used: https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/PRS85006173 For SInf, the source is University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. The mean of the answers of the consumers to the question: "By about what percent do you expect to go up, on the average, during the next 12 months?" is used. Historical differences between CPI inflation and GDP price deflator are computed in real time and survey expectations are modified by adding these historical differences at each period. http://www.sca.isr.umich.edu/tables.php http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/CPIAUCSL