Haroon Mumtaz and Paolo Surico, "Time-Varying Yield Curve Dynamics and Monetary Policy", Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 24, No. 6, 2009, pp. 895-913. The dataset is monthly and runs from Jan 1970 to Dec 2000. It is provided in a "tab-delimited" text file called ms-data.txt. This ASCII file is in DOS format. It is zipped in the file ms-data.zip. Unix/Linux users should use "unzip -a". Two types of variables are included in the data file: (a) Macroeconomic Variables and (b) Government Bond Yields. These are described below: Macroeconomic data The first column has dates The second, third, and fourth columns of the dataset contain (1) Growth rate of Industrial production, (2) monthly inflation and (3) the Federal Funds rate. These are obtained from the FRED Database (http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/) Yield Curve data The rest of the columns of the dataset contain U.S. Treasury yields with maturities of 1,3, 6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21,24, 30, 36, 48, 60, 72, 84, 96, 108, and 120 months. The yields are derived from bid/ask average price quotes using the unsmoothed Fama and Bliss (1987) approach. These data were first used in Diebold, Rudebusch and Aruoba (2006) (and kindly provided to us for this study by the authors) and more details on data construction can be found in that paper. Contact: haroon.mumtaz [AT] bankofengland.co.uk References Diebold, F.X., G.D. Rudebusch and S.B. Aruoba, 2006, The Macroeconomy and the Yield curve: a dynamic latent factor approach, Journal of Econometrics 131, 309-338. Fama, Eugene F and Robert R Bliss, 1987, The Information in Long-Maturity Forward Rates, American Economic Review 77(4), 680-92.