Yixiao Sun and Peter Phillips, "Understanding the Fisher Equation", Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 19, No. 7, 2004, pp. 869-886. The data used in this paper are contained in three ASCII files in DOS format, all three of which are zipped in the file spdata.zip. cpi.dat: The first column contains the year, the second column contains the month, and the third column contains the monthly US CPI. For each year, The first 12 observations are the monthly CPI while the 13rd observation is the annual CPI. The data are available from the Monthly Labor Review of the Bureau of Labor Statistics (Code: CUUROOOOSA0. http://www.bls.gov/data/home.htm) nr.dat: The first column contains the month and the second column contains the three-month (US) Treasury Bill Rate. The data are available from the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Reserve Bulletin (Code: TB3MS. http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred/) ef.dat. The file contains the quarterly inflation forecasts from 1981:4 to 1999:3. The data are available from the Survey of Professional Forecasters. For more information see http://www.phil.frb.org/econ/spf/ Yixiao Sun Department of Economics, 0508 University of California, San Diego 9500 Gilman Drive Lo Jolla, CA 92093-0508 E-mail: yisun@ucsd.edu