Stephen Gordon, "Stochastic Trends, Deterministic Trends and Business Cycle Turning Points", Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 12, No. 4, 1997, pp. 411-434. The data used in the article are quarterly observations for US Gross Domestic Product, measured in billions of 1987 dollars over the period 1947:1-1994:3 (191 observations). The ASCII file `gordon.dat' contains three series: QRT, GDP and NBER: QRT indicates the date: 47.1 is the first quarter of 1947 GDP is the raw data. The estimation results are based on the natural logs of these numbers NBER is the NBER reference business cycle, used in discussing the results. NBER=1 indicates an expansion, and NBER=0 indicates a recession. The data file looks like: QRT GDP NBER 47.1 1239.5 1 47.2 1247.2 1 47.3 1255.0 1 47.4 1269.5 1 : : : : : : 94.1 5261.1 1 94.2 5314.1 1 94.3 5359.2 1